How much of the United State's energy will be produced by fossil fuels in 2040?
CommoditiesOne-Off13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.7%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 4, 22, 6:44 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?
Manifold Markets2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?
Manifold MarketsWill renewable energy sources surpass fossil fuels as the primary source of energy worldwide by the end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketNew Jersey gas price at year-end 2026
KalshiRules
This market resolves to the total percentage contribution of coal, oil, and natural gas to United States energy usage at the beginning of 2040.
- Source will be Our World In Data, or a replacement source if necessary.
- As of market creation, it's about 81%.
- https://ourworldindata.org/energy/country/united-states