Will renewable energy sources surpass fossil fuels as the primary source of energy worldwide by the end of 2050?
WeatherOne-Off
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 86.2%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleApr 22, 23, 8:47 PM UTCDec 31, 50, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This question will resolve as YES if renewable energy sources, such as solar, wind, hydropower, and geothermal, collectively surpass fossil fuels, including coal, oil, and gas, as the primary source of energy worldwide by the end of 2050.
- The determination of primary source will be based on the total global energy consumption from each source.
- The question will resolve as NO if fossil fuels remain the primary source.
