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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Tech
  3. How many Starship launches will occur in 2027?
Manifold Markets

How many Starship launches will occur in 2027?

TechOne-OffSpace1y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Over 10 Launches 74%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters

11

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 5:51 PMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Over 10 Launches74%

Rules

Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful nor does it need to be intended to be fully orbital)

Manifold Markets
  • Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
  • Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
  • I may resolve answers NO slightly earlier than year end if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
  • UTC is used for determining 2027 start/end

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Rules

Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful nor does it need to be intended to be fully orbital)

Manifold Markets
  • Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
  • Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
  • I may resolve answers NO slightly earlier than year end if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
  • UTC is used for determining 2027 start/end