Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAbove 4.46 28%-11.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-22.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 7:05 AM UTCSep 30, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will national gas prices in the US average above $3.60
Manifold MarketsWhat will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
PolymarketWill the number of Tornado reports exceed 50 in the US during September 2026?
ForecastExWill unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill the number of Tornado reports exceed 45 in the US during September 2026?
ForecastExWill the number of Tornado reports exceed 75 in the US during September 2026?
ForecastExRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasm/us-gas-price/kxaaagasm-26sep30
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than the listed price on Sep 30, 2026 according to AAA, then the answer resolves to Yes.
- https://gasprices.aaa.com/
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Gas prices in the US in Sep 2026? · Above 4.20 99%
