Current community forecast
No 79.9%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 12, 24, 11:05 AM UTCMar 1, 33, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2034?
Manifold Marketswill OpenAI announce a brain-computer interface product by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill I be using a brain-computer interface in my daily life by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRules
Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2033.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b (this question)