Current community forecast
No 74.5%
No 74.5%Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMay 3, 24, 10:33 AM UTCMar 5, 34, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2034.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b
