Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2029 28.8%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+6.2 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 14, 26, 10:33 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Before when will the Netherlands adopt capital gains tax on realized returns?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?
KalshiWill federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?
KalshiFederal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
PolymarketWill long-term capital gains tax rate (federal) be increased in the US by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?
Manifold MarketsRules
https://www.imidaily.com/europe/dutch-lawmakers-approve-a-36-tax-on-unrealized-crypto-stock-and-bond-gains/
- Resolves YES for the single year in which unrealized gains in ANY of [crypto | stock investments | treasury bonds] are first subject to tax at 25% or higher (the first year in which the proposed tax is applicable to existing investment).
- If the tax is collected in 2029, that will have been taxing gains received in 2028 and this question will resolve 2028::YES.
- Resolves OTHER if this law is not in effect during fiscal years prior to the start of 2030.
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.9pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+32.5pt87%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $78,497.72 target
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for First year Netherlands taxes unrealized capital gains?
- Manifold Markets prices 2029 at 29% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does First year Netherlands taxes unrealized capital gains resolve?
- First year Netherlands taxes unrealized capital gains is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is First year Netherlands taxes unrealized capital gains settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.imidaily.com/europe/dutch-lawmakers-approve-a-36-tax-on-unrealized-crypto-stock-and-bond-gains/