Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Max Verstappen 🇳🇱🚣♀️🏆 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 2:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Max Verstappen 🇳🇱🚣♀️🏆
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
63%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 11, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Kimi Antonelli 🇮🇹🍝🤌9.1%
Georges Russel 🇬🇧💂👑3.1%
Charles Leclerc 🇫🇷🥖🍷0.4%
Lewis Hamilton 🇬🇧🏎️💨0.2%
Lando Norris 🇬🇧🦁💫12.1%
Oscar Piastri 🇦🇺🦘🦘0.8%
Max Verstappen 🇳🇱🚣♀️🏆99%
Isack Hadjar 🇫🇷🚣♀️🕳️3.3%
Other3.7%
Won
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution criteria
- The race is scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. (CEST).
- The winner will be determined by the driver who crosses the finish line first after completing the full race distance.
- Resolution will be based on the official FIA race results published on the Formula 1 official website.
- The 2026 Singapore Grand Prix at the Marina Bay Street Circuit is the 18th round of the 24-race 2026 Formula 1 World Championship.
- The race weekend runs from October 9–11, 2026, and features a Sprint race format, making Singapore the final Sprint weekend of the 2026 season.