PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Mercedes 86%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$22.1K
Liquidity
$1.8M
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.3% / 0.4%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.1%
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Dec 9, 25, 12:55 AMDec 6, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Mercedes86%
Compare venues· Mercedes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall80% match · verified | High | 84% | -2pt | $50.5K | $1.1M | 5 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Medium | 86% | 0pt | $22.1K | $1.8M | 11 minutes ago | |
 Futuur85% match · auto | Low | 81% | -5pt | $0 | $0 | 3 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless80% match · auto | Low | 85% | -1pt | $0 | $0 | 4 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 84% | -2pt | — | — | 27 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 86% | 0pt | — | — | 13 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 84% | -2pt | — | — | 26 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Which team will win the F1 2026 Constructors’ Championship (WCC) ?
5mo
86%
1.4%
1.1%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast25 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which team will win World Constructor Championship in 2026 F1 season
5mo
84.4%
1%
10%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast17 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Formula 1 World Constructors Championship (WCC)
5mo
1.6%
10%
0.7%
+9 more outcomes
Community forecast16 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Futuur
Formula 1 Constructors Champion
4mo
81%
10%
10%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$373
24h Vol$0
FUTUURAlso available on Kalshi
F1 Constructors Champion
5mo
1%
84%
2%
+8 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$50.5K
KALSHIAlso available on Limitless
F1 Constructors' Champion
8mo
85.3%
1.4%
0.8%
+5 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.7K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
- This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
- In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
- If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$22.1kJul 212d of dataJul 13
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
- This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
- In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
- If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.