KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityCarson Hocevar 3%+1.0%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$23.8K
Liquidity
$2.3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
200.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Feb 4, 26, 3:00 PMNov 15, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Carson Hocevar3%
Large trades
$1.9k97.0%KALSHITy Gibbs — No2d ago
KALSHITy Gibbs — No2d ago$2.4k97.0%KALSHITy Gibbs — No2d ago
KALSHITy Gibbs — No2d ago$1.3k64.0%KALSHIDenny Hamlin — No19d ago
KALSHIDenny Hamlin — No19d ago$1.9k97.0%KALSHIChase Briscoe — No20d ago
KALSHIChase Briscoe — No20d agoVolume trend
$23.8kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Kyle Larson wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- If Denny Hamlin wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If William Byron wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Christopher Bell wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.