Current community forecast
Grok 4.6 is released by August 31, 2026 81.5%+31.5ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Mar 7, 26, 12:23 PMMar 7, 27, 12:23 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Neuralink implants surpass 1,000 humans by December 31, 20265%
Volume trend
$113Jul 282d of dataJul 29
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Tracks Elon Musk's progress toward AGI via xAI/Grok, Optimus robots, Neuralink, and supporting tech like advanced batteries.
- Starship V3 flight imminent in 4 weeks; Grok Imagine tops video AI leaderboards; Tesla cracks dry electrode manufacturing.
- AI-managed market.
- The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.
- /add-option — suggest a new prop.
- AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.