Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 30, 23, 4:55 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Side mirrors cause a lot of drag (they take up perhaps 5% of total energy use).
- They could be replaced with cameras and a display inside the car, but haven't been, partly due to laws.
- This resolves YES if a car without protruding mirrors is broadly, legally available in the US before 2027 and can drive on all public roads and highways.
- https://www.wired.com/2014/04/tesla-auto-alliance-mirrors/
- [link preview]
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
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- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors-3.0pt60.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+3.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $654.7K
- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the US before 2027?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the US before 2027 resolve?
- Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the US before 2027 is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the US before 2027 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Side mirrors cause a lot of drag (they take up perhaps 5% of total energy use).