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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?
Manifold Markets

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

AITech2y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Jan 1, 2027 18.9%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters

16

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Nov 9, 25, 5:02 AMJan 2, 29, 5:01 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Jan 1, 202719%

Rules

Meta's Coconut paper describes a new way to train AI models so that they reason in latent space.

Manifold Markets
  • Coconut doesn't have to explicitly write its thoughts in natural language (as e.g.
  • OpenAI's o1 would).
  • Abstract from the paper:
  • Large language models (LLMs) are restricted to reason in the "language space", where they typically express the reasoning process with a chain-of-thought (CoT) to solve a complex reasoning problem.
  • However, we argue that language space may not always be optimal for reasoning.

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Rules

Meta's Coconut paper describes a new way to train AI models so that they reason in latent space.

Manifold Markets
  • Coconut doesn't have to explicitly write its thoughts in natural language (as e.g.
  • OpenAI's o1 would).
  • Abstract from the paper:
  • Large language models (LLMs) are restricted to reason in the "language space", where they typically express the reasoning process with a chain-of-thought (CoT) to solve a complex reasoning problem.
  • However, we argue that language space may not always be optimal for reasoning.