Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 25, 10:03 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Billie Eilish releases an album in 2026 that reaches the #1 position on the Billboard 200 chart at any point during 2026.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The official Billboard 200 chart, as reported on Billboard.com, will be the sole source for resolution.
- Billie Eilish is an American singer-songwriter who rose to prominence in the late 2010s.
- Her debut album, When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?, released in 2019, debuted at #1 on the Billboard 200 chart.
