Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (33.900000000000006%)
Resolved: Oct 15, 2026, 12:34 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 24, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Yes66.1%
No33.900000000000006%
Lost
Won
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.