Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastArgentina 48.8%-1.2%
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 7:54 AMJul 15, 26, 4:30 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Argentina49%
Compare venues· England
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall91% match · auto | High | 38% | — | $113K | $2.9M | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 51% | — | — | — | 10 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
England vs. Argentina
3d
38%
33%
31%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$113K
24h Vol$113K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolves based on winner of the match in semifinals.
- Ask in the comments for limits which I may place.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolves based on winner of the match in semifinals.
- Ask in the comments for limits which I may place.