KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Argentina advances (56%)
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 9:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Argentina advances
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
47%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 15, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Argentina advances 55.5%+10.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$84M
Liquidity
$76M
High liquidityBid / Ask
55.0% / 56.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 48 days ago
StaleJul 12, 26, 4:10 AMAug 12, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Argentina advances56%
England advances45%
55.5%
44.5%
Rules
If England advance past Argentina in the England vs Argentina soccer match in the Semifinal of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi
- If Argentina advance past England in the England vs Argentina soccer match in the Semifinal of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
