PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 1 - 2
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 9:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
1 - 2100%
0 - 012%
0 - 111%
1 - 00%
0 - 25%
1 - 10%
2 - 00%
0 - 32%
2 - 10%
3 - 00%
1 - 30%
2 - 20%
3 - 10%
2 - 32%
3 - 22%
3 - 31%
Any Other Score6%
1 - 2Won
0 - 0Lost
0 - 1Lost
1 - 0Lost
0 - 2Lost
1 - 1Lost
2 - 0Lost
0 - 3Lost
2 - 1Lost
3 - 0Lost
1 - 3Lost
2 - 2Lost
3 - 1Lost
2 - 3Lost
3 - 2Lost
3 - 3Lost
Any Other ScoreLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
KalshiWhich teams will qualify for the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
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Manifold MarketsWhich country will be next to win their first FIFA World Cup?
Manifold MarketsWhich continent will primarily host the 2038 FIFA World Cup?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the 2038 FIFA World Cup be hosted (any option that hosts at least one match will resolve YES)?
Manifold MarketsRules
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Argentina, scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the England vs.
- If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "the named outcome." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
- However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
- All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
- Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.