Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.6%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 4, 26, 1:12 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES iff Apple releases a base model iPhone 18 by December 31st, 2026.
- Must be available to purchase by at least some members of the public.
- Release of an iPhone 18 Pro or iPhone 18 Max models (or other variants other than the base model) will NOT suffice for this market to resolve YES.
