
This market resolved: No (99.4%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 100% | — | $1.6K | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → | |
| Low | 99% | — | $0 | $0 | 26 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket

Resolved
No (100%)


Rules
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.