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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

TechOne-OffSpaceCorporate Actions19d
LimitlessLimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYC
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 1.7%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

-

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Feb 2, 26, 1:39 PMJul 1, 26, 2:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes2%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

    Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company.

  • A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights).
  • Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

    The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

    Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company.

  • A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights).
  • Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

    The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.