Current implied probability
No 85.8%
No 85.8%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 3:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Aryna Sabalenka in the WTA China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 03:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Aryna Sabalenka.
- This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Nikola Bartunkova.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka · Bartunkova vs. Sabalenka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 69%