Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 3, 2026, 4:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 77.7%
Yes 77.7%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 2:50 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 12:30 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Liudmila Samsonova in the WTA China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 03:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Liudmila Samsonova.
- This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Karolina Muchova.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova · Karolina Muchova 78%
