Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Yes 73.5%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleSep 12, 26, 11:45 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
73.5%
26.5%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Settles automatically against the Pyth price oracle for Crypto.BTC/USD.TWAP60.
Source: Pyth price oracle (Crypto.BTC/USD.TWAP60)
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Chainlink BTC/USD 60-second TWAP on September 13, 2026, at 00:00 UTC is greater than or equal to the Price to Beat captured from the same TWAP on September 12, 2026, at 23:45 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The Chainlink BTC/USD 60-second TWAP is used for both the Price to Beat and resolution.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
The report at the exact resolution time is used first.
- If it is unavailable, the first Chainlink observation within the following 5 seconds will be used.
- If no report exists in that window, the market will not resolve automatically.
The Price to Beat captured from the Chainlink BTC/USD 60-second TWAP on September 12, 2026, at 23:45 UTC was $77233.483927111042334720.