Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 4:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 59.5%
No 59.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 2, 26, 3:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Arthur Rinderknech in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 01:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Arthur Rinderknech.
- This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Alex Molcan.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech · Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 83%
