KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Supreme Court (99%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 4:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityCrypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin 1%-19.0%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$32K
Liquidity
$313.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleJun 29, 26, 10:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:25 PM
Trends
1%
1%
1%
99%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Related Markets
What will Trump say during his remarks at Mount Rushmore?
$150.2KCrypto / Bitcoin: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?
$31.2KCrypto / Bitcoin: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
$11KYes: 6%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
$9.2KYes: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
$226.3Yes: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
$155.3December 31, 2026: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Bitcoin bear market ‘dead’ after first TD9 reversal signal since July 2022 firesCointelegraph
BTC below $60K as Polymarket pegs 99.85% odds above $52K by June 30Blockchain.News
Why Bitcoin price can’t break above $60K despite easing tensionsCrypto News
Bitcoin falls into a technical no man’s land as major support levels sit miles awayCoindesk
Grayscale says Bitcoin could fall further if CLARITY stalls and Fed hikesCrypto News
Bitcoin ETF Flows Explained: What ETF Inflows and Outflows Mean for InvestorsThe BlockRules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.