KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAdam Smith 92%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$877.3
Liquidity
$21.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
35.0% / 40.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kshama Sawant39%
Volume trend
$877Jul 226d of dataJul 28
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If Melissa Chaudhry advances in the 2026 WA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The top two advancers will resolve to Yes.
- If Kshama Sawant advances in the 2026 WA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Douglas Michael Basler advances in the 2026 WA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Janis Clark advances in the 2026 WA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If C Mark Greene advances in the 2026 WA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.