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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. WA-05 primary: who will advance?
WA-05 primary: who will advance?

WA-05 primary: who will advance?

One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Carmela Conroy
Carmela Conroy 94%
Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$90.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

87.0% / 94.0%

Spread

8.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Carmela Conroy94%

Rules

If Michael Baumgartner advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The top two advancers will resolve to Yes.
  • If Ann Marie Danimus advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Carmela Conroy advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bajun Mavalwalla advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Nate Powell advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,831.20+2.10%EthereumETH$1,657.33+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.23+2.13%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.71%XRPXRP$1.12+0.72%BNBBNB$601.91+2.70%

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Rules

If Michael Baumgartner advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The top two advancers will resolve to Yes.
  • If Ann Marie Danimus advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Carmela Conroy advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bajun Mavalwalla advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Nate Powell advances in the the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.