KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMichael Baumgartner 97%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$427.2
Liquidity
$11.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
65.0% / 71.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Carmela Conroy71%
Volume trend
$427Jul 317d of dataJul 28
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If Michael Baumgartner advances in the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The top two advancers will resolve to Yes.
- If Ann Marie Danimus advances in the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Carmela Conroy advances in the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bajun Mavalwalla advances in the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nate Powell advances in the 2026 WA-05 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.