KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityJohn McGuire 97%+2.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
91.0% / 96.0%
Spread
5.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
John McGuire97%
Volume trend
$10Jul 52d of dataJul 7
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If Melanie Lucero wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 VA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John McGuire wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 VA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bob Good wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 VA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.