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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. 2026 Texas Senate matchup?
2026 Texas Senate matchup?

2026 Texas Senate matchup?

4.7% (24h)Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Talarico vs. Paxton (100%)

Resolved: May 27, 2026, 1:44 AM

Winning Outcome

Talarico vs. Paxton

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

96%

Consensus
Current implied probability
Talarico vs. Cornyn
Talarico vs. Cornyn 0%-4.7%
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.4K

Liquidity

$7.8K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 0.1%

Market data

Updated 17 days ago

Stale
Dec 10, 25, 3:00 PMNov 10, 26, 3:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Talarico vs. Paxton100%
Talarico vs. Cornyn0%
0%25%50%75%100%May 25May 26May 27
Outcome24hChance
Talarico vs. Cornyn
Talarico vs. Cornyn
-4.7%
0%
Talarico vs. Paxton
Talarico vs. Paxton
+4.7%
100%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If ALL of the following occur for Nov 2026: Dem Nominee: James Talarico, GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee uses , GOP Nominee uses .
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If ALL of the following occur for Nov 2026: Dem Nominee: James Talarico, GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee uses , GOP Nominee uses .
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.