KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 86,000 MW 99%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$27.2K
Liquidity
$22.2K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 4:55 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 4:55 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiWill US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8250 ozt in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS gas prices this week
KalshiWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRules
If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 12, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 12, 2026 operating day.
- Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour.
- Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
- Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.3000+12.0pt99%
- Above 4.280099%
- Above 4.302099%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $516.1K
- 24h Vol
- $110.3K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.305099%
- Above 4.300099%
- Above 4.290099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $94.6K
- 24h Vol
- $93.9K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt44%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+4.0pt42%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+27 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 14, 2026?
- Above $94.49+2.0pt90%
- Above $94.99+2.0pt88%
- Above $95.49+5.0pt85%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
MYRIADCrude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- $120-0.0pt65.7%
- $55+0.1pt34.3%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $49K
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices this week
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 12, 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 86,000 MW at 99% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 12, 2026 resolve?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 12, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 12, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 12, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.