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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. TX-18 Democratic nominee?
TX-18 Democratic nominee?

TX-18 Democratic nominee?

10.9% (24h)Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Christian Menefee (100%)

Resolved: May 27, 2026, 1:39 AM

Winning Outcome

Christian Menefee

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

89%

Consensus
Current implied probability
Christian Menefee
Christian Menefee 100%+10.9%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$377

Liquidity

$710.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 17 days ago

Stale
Feb 1, 26, 5:00 PMMar 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Christian Menefee100%
Al Green1%
Amanda Edwards1%
Gretchen Brown1%
0%25%50%75%100%May 26May 26May 27
Outcome24hChance
Al Green
Al Green
-10.2%
1%
Amanda Edwards
Amanda Edwards
1%
Gretchen Brown
Gretchen Brown
1%
Christian Menefee
Christian Menefee
+10.9%
100%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Al Green wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Texas 18th congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that this market is only for the TX-18 Democratic nominee for the full term beginning in 2027.
  • If Christian Menefee wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Texas 18th congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Amanda Edwards wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Texas 18th congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Gretchen Brown wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Texas 18th congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Al Green wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Texas 18th congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that this market is only for the TX-18 Democratic nominee for the full term beginning in 2027.
  • If Christian Menefee wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Texas 18th congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Amanda Edwards wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Texas 18th congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Gretchen Brown wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Texas 18th congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.