Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?

7.3% (24h)One-OffUS Politics

KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, 3:04 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 99%+7.3%

Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$3.1K

Liquidity

$304.5

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

98.0% / 99.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Jan 12, 26, 3:00 PMAug 1, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Yes

+7.3%

99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the Supreme Court, in Trump v.

Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v.
United States, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v.
United States (1935) such that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will, after Issuance and before the August 1, 2027.
The market resolves to No if the Supreme Court affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional.

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Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?

7.3% (24h)One-OffUS Politics

KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, 3:04 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 99%+7.3%

Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$3.1K

Liquidity

$304.5

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

98.0% / 99.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Jan 12, 26, 3:00 PMAug 1, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Yes

+7.3%

99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the Supreme Court, in Trump v.

Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v.
United States, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v.
United States (1935) such that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will, after Issuance and before the August 1, 2027.
The market resolves to No if the Supreme Court affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional.

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$1M

JD Vance: 20%

POLYMARKET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

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$566.2K

Gavin Newsom: 21%