KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Greenland (99%)
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, 2:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Greenland
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityGreenland 99%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$676.2K
Liquidity
$18.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 12:00 PMJul 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Autism1%
Make Iran Great Again6%
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Moscow1%
UFO / UAP2%
Kimmel2%
Nine War / Ninth War8%
Newscum99%
Gulf of America99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Greenland
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $676.2K | $18.5K | 26 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets78% match · verified | — | 100% | — | — | — | 19 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
What will trump say this month? (Kalshi)
Closed
100%
100%
100%
+17 more outcomes
Community forecast72 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump after June 1st at 8:00am ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
- If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump after June 1st at 8:00am ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
- If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.