What will Trump say this month?
69.0% (24h)DogecoinMonthlyMemecoinUS PoliticsCrime & JusticePolitics20d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityEpstein 99%+69.0%Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$119.9
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 12:00 PMJul 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Epstein99%
Also available on Manifold Markets
What will trump say this month? (Kalshi)
19d
45%
49%
98.9%
+17 more outcomes
Community forecast29 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$10.5K
24h Vol$1.2K
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump after June 1st at 8:00am ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
- If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump after June 1st at 8:00am ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
- If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.