KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityBarack Hussein Obama 99%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$654
Liquidity
$636.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 1, 26, 4:00 AMAug 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Barack Hussein Obama99%
Also available on Polymarket
What will Trump say in July?
45.5%30d
+30.2%100%
+45.5%100%
+6.5%95%
+21 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.6K
24h Vol$2.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump before Aug 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
- If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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How high will DOGE get in July?
$1.5Above $0.12: 3%KALSHI
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What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
$497.7Trump bans abortion nationwide: 3.2%
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?
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Before when will SLS be cancelled?
$161.12026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
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If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump before Aug 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
- If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.