Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecastPelosi 100%Leader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters
72
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 5:46 PMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Pelosi100%
Greenland61%
Epstein40%
Crypto / Bitcoin0%
Kimmel0%
Moscow0%
Third term33.8%
Make Iran great again0%
Who are you with / where are you from85.5%
Goat0%
UFO / UAP0%
Nine War / Ninth War0%
Autism0%
DEI / Woke81%
Palestine / Palestinian100%
Genius76.4%
Gulf of America73%
Dead country84%
Moon73%
Fat shot / Ozempic100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Pelosi
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall78% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $676.2K | $18.5K | 26 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 20 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
What will Trump say this month?
5.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Greenland (99%)
99%
99%
99%
+30 more outcomes
38 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$2.1M
24h Vol$676.2K
KALSHIRules
Resolves to this kalshi market.
- Vercel Security Checkpoint
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Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolves to this kalshi market.
- Vercel Security Checkpoint
- [link preview]