KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Israel / Israeli (99%)
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, 8:11 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Israel / Israeli
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityAfford / Affordable / Affordability 1%Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$324.8K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 14 days ago
StaleJun 18, 26, 10:21 PMAug 14, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
2501%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation1%
Israel / Israeli99%
Democrat1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Oil99%
Biden99%
China / Chinese99%
NATO1%
Hottest1%
Drone99%
Stock Market99%
Blockade99%
Event does not qualify1%
Cuba / Cuban99%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat1%
Hormuz99%
Bibi / Netanyahu99%
Terminate / Terminated99%
1%
1%
1%
99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the The Axios Show will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Axios Show will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast or release will be used for resolution.