KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Iran / Iranian (99%)
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, 12:37 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Save America Act 99%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$428K
Liquidity
$373.2K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 34 days ago
StaleJul 29, 26, 2:28 PMAug 13, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
MAGA / Make America Great Again1%
Save America Act99%
Transgender99%
America First99%
Communist / Communism99%
Biden1%
Democrat1%
Endorse / Endorsement99%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat99%
Landslide1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Iran / Iranian99%
Radical Left1%
Tariff1%
Event does not qualify3%
Hottest1%
Fake News1%
Stock Market1%
Fraud1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:855-859-7334
- Video of the Tele-Rally with Michael Alfonso will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Tele-Rally with Michael Alfonso will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
