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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Top AI model this month
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

AIMonthly16d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 88%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 88.0%

Spread

8700.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jun 13, 26, 5:00 PMJun 30, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
0%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
0%
claude-opus-4-7
claude-opus-4-7
0%

Selected outcome

claude-opus-4-6-thinking88%

Rules

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$64,270.72+1.10%EthereumETH$1,677.45+0.69%SolanaSOL$68.20+2.33%BNBBNB$608.53+0.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.0877+0.12%XRPXRP$1.15+1.35%

Related News

Anthropic shuts down Fable 5 access after US interventionCrypto NewsAnthropic's pre-IPO shares fall as US government shuts down its most powerful AI modelCoindeskAnthropic Halts Fable 5, Mythos 5 AI Models Following US OrderBlockchain.NewsAnthropic suspends access to Fable 5, Mythos 5, citing US directiveCointelegraphUS Halts Foreign Access to Anthropic's Fable 5 AI Model, Citing SecurityBlockchain.NewsAI Reshapes Contract Drafting for Legal TeamsBlockchain.News

Rules

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.