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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Best Chinese AI Company end of June?
Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

7.0% (24h)AITechMonthlyChina17d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Alibaba
Alibaba 78%-4.5%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$8.9K

Liquidity

$31.2K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.6% / 13.2%

Spread

407.7%

Wide spread
7d Change

+6.7%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 26, 26, 11:05 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Alibaba78%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,603.95+0.14%EthereumETH$1,666.98-0.81%SolanaSOL$66.81-0.25%DogecoinDOGE$0.0876+1.23%BNBBNB$603.87-0.07%XRPXRP$1.13-0.50%

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.