Which company has the third best AI model end of June?
21.5% (24h)AITechMonthly20d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Anthropic 80%+21.5%Leader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.5K
Liquidity
$93.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
79.0% / 80.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spread7d Change
+4.0%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Apr 14, 26, 9:15 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Anthropic80%
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KALSHI
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.