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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. June 2026 AI model releases
Manifold Markets

June 2026 AI model releases

AITechMonthly18d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Gemini 3.x Pro 71%
Leader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters

130

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 28, 26, 5:57 PMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Gemini 3.x Pro71%

Rules

This market resolves YES for each AI model that receives an official public release during June 2026.

Manifold Markets
  • A release counts as available to users if it is widely made available through official channels (API, web interface, download, or official partnership).
  • Subvariants are model releases that share the same tier name (e.g., Flash Preview, Flash Live, Flash Instant, Flash Image all count for "Gemini 3.1 Flash"; 5.5-Thinking, 5.5-Instant, 5.5-Nano, 5.5-Pro all count for "GPT5.5").
  • Releases with a distinct tier name (Flash-Lite, Flash, Pro as a separate tier, etc.) do NOT count for an adjacent tier, even within the same model family.
  • When in doubt, I'll use the official model name the company uses to classify it.
  • Please ask for clarifications.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market resolves YES for each AI model that receives an official public release during June 2026.

Manifold Markets
  • A release counts as available to users if it is widely made available through official channels (API, web interface, download, or official partnership).
  • Subvariants are model releases that share the same tier name (e.g., Flash Preview, Flash Live, Flash Instant, Flash Image all count for "Gemini 3.1 Flash"; 5.5-Thinking, 5.5-Instant, 5.5-Nano, 5.5-Pro all count for "GPT5.5").
  • Releases with a distinct tier name (Flash-Lite, Flash, Pro as a separate tier, etc.) do NOT count for an adjacent tier, even within the same model family.
  • When in doubt, I'll use the official model name the company uses to classify it.
  • Please ask for clarifications.