KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilitygemini-3.1-pro-preview 1%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15.7
Liquidity
$15.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 13, 26, 5:00 PMJun 20, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
gemini-3.1-pro-preview1%
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If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.