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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Top AI model this week
Top AI model this week

Top AI model this week

AIOne-Off
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: claude-opus-4-6-thinking (99%)

Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, 4:09 PM

Winning Outcome

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking 1%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.4K

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale
May 30, 26, 5:00 PMJun 6, 26, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

claude-opus-4-7-thinking1%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking99%
claude-opus-4-61%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview1%
gpt-5.5-high1%
claude-opus-4-71%
gemini-3-pro1%
muse-spark1%
ernie-5.1-preview1%
qwen3.5-max-preview1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 6Jun 6Jun 6
Outcome24hChance
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
1%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
+4.0%
99%
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6
1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
1%
gpt-5.5-high
gpt-5.5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-7
claude-opus-4-7
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jun 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.