KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Nihal Sarin (98%)
Resolved: Oct 13, 2026, 6:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Nihal Sarin
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Bardiya Daneshvar7%
Oleksandr Bortnyk7%
Andrey Esipenko7%
Hans Niemann5%
Sina Movahed2%
Hikaru Nakamura30%
Fabiano Caruana5%
Wesley So98%
Dmitry Andreikin13%
Sam Sevian0%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher0%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei8%
Dau Khuong Duy0%
Faustino Oro0%
Aleksandr Shimanov0%
Vincent Keymer13%
Aleksandar Indjic0%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra0%
Benjamin Bok0%
Levon Aronian0%
Dincer Tasdogen0%
Sergey Sklokin6%
Volen Dyulgerov0%
David Anton0%
Nitzan Steinberg0%
Akshay Borgaonkar0%
Zarina Nurgaliyeva0%
Magnus Carlsen15%
Arjun Erigaisi21%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov6%
Javokhir Sindarov8%
Frederik Svane6%
Rasmus Svane6%
Jules Moussard5%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu5%
Artem Avanesian5%
Martyn Kravtsiv6%
Nihal Sarin9%
Alexander Grischuk9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov10%
Parham Maghsoodloo12%
Maxim Matlakov10%
Aleksei Sarana2%
Vladislav Artemiev98%
Hikaru NakamuraLost
Fabiano CaruanaLost
Nihal SarinWon
Vladislav ArtemievLost
Wesley SoLost
Dmitry AndreikinLost
Vincent KeymerLost
Jose MartinezLost
Tobias KoelleLost
Arjun ErigaisiLost
Sina MovahedLost
Aleksei SaranaLost
Denis LazavikLost
Ian NepomniachtchiLost
Alireza FirouzjaLost
Magnus CarlsenLost
Maxime Vachier-LagraveLost
Hans NiemannLost
Sam SevianLost
Renato Terry LujanLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome finishes in the top 5 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026.
- The format of the event is blitz, and is a Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds.
- If the named outcome does not participate in the event, then their market will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.