KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Fabiano Caruana (99%)
Resolved: Oct 13, 2026, 6:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Fabiano Caruana
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Hikaru Nakamura1%
Vladislav Artemiev4%
Sina Movahed9%
Magnus Carlsen8%
Ian Nepomniachtchi14%
Alireza Firouzja20%
Alexander Grischuk5%
Fabiano Caruana99%
Jose Martinez1%
Artem Avanesian1%
Fabiano CaruanaWon
Arjun ErigaisiLost
Aleksei SaranaLost
Maxime Vachier-LagraveLost
Vladislav ArtemievLost
Praggnanandhaa RameshbabuLost
Liem LeLost
Wesley SoLost
Alexander GrischukLost
Artin AshrafLost
Hans NiemannLost
Hikaru NakamuraLost
Alireza FirouzjaLost
Magnus CarlsenLost
Ian NepomniachtchiLost
Jose MartinezLost
Denis LazavikLost
Artem AvanesianLost
Nihal SarinLost
Sina MovahedLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome wins the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026.
- The format of the event is blitz, and is a Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds.
- If the named outcome does not participate in the event, then their market will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
