KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 58° or above
Resolved: Nov 5, 2026, 4:40 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 3:04 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
59° or aboveLost
62° or aboveLost
55° or aboveLost
56° or aboveLost
57° or aboveLost
58° or aboveWon
60° or aboveLost
61° or aboveLost
63° or aboveLost
64° or aboveLost
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PolymarketRules
If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 57.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 59° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 58.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 62° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 61.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 55° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 54.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 56° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 55.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 57° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 56.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 58° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 57.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 60° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 59.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 61° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 60.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 63° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 64° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.