KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 15 million · —
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Stored price
Above 16 million 53.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 16 million 53.5%Market quality
16 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$97.2
Open interest
$2.2K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 15 millionSpread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 5, 26, 4:38 PM UTCMay 16, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 15 million
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiThird-best AI Lab end of November?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketRules
If SpaceX reports Above 16000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 15 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 15000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 15.5 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 15500000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 16000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16.5 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 16500000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 17000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.5 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 17500000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 18000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.5 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 18500000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 19 million
- If SpaceX reports Above 19000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.