Current implied probability
Before July 17th 5%-3.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$32.1
Liquidity
$450.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 26, 26, 6:00 PMJul 17, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before July 17th5%
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If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before August 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before September 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.