KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Before May 23 (99%)
Resolved: May 22, 2026, 11:38 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Before May 23 99%+22.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$330.5K
Liquidity
$7.4K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 102 days ago
StaleMay 19, 26, 4:00 PMMay 28, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Before May 2280%
Before June93%
Before May 2379%
Before May 2479%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 12 the named outcome 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 12 the named outcome, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,000 or above99%
- $75,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 200-219+7.0pt26.2%
- 180-199+4.0pt22.4%
- 220-239+4.0pt19.6%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above98%
- $69,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+11.0pt55.7%
- 75° or below+14.0pt33%
- 78° to 79°-21.0pt6.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,360 or above99%
- $2,240 or above99%
- $2,280 or above98%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $192.4K
- 24h Vol
- $192.4K
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+1.2pt10.8%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.0pt9.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SpaceX Starship 12th launch??
- Kalshi prices Before May 23 at 99% as of May 22, 2026.
- When does SpaceX Starship 12th launch? resolve?
- SpaceX Starship 12th launch? is scheduled to resolve on May 28, 2026.
- How is SpaceX Starship 12th launch? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 12 the named outcome 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.